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Clinical guidelines often use predicted lifetime risk from birth to define criteria for making decisions regarding breast cancer screening rather than thresholds based on absolute 5-year risk from current age.

We used the Prospective Family Cohort Study of 14,657 women without breast cancer at baseline in which, during a median follow-up of 10 years, 482 women were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer. We examined the performances of the IBIS and BOADICEA risk models when using alternative thresholds by comparing predictions based on 5-year risk with those based on lifetime risk from birth and remaining lifetime risk. All statistical tests were two-sided.

Using IBIS, the areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves were 0.66 (95% confidence interval = 0.63 to 0.68) and 0.56 (95% confidence interval = 0.54 to 0.59) for 5-year and lifetime risks, respectively (Pdiff<0.001). For equivalent sensitivities, the 5-year incidence almost always had higher specificities than lifetime risk from birth. For women aged 20-39 years, 5-year risk performed better than lifetime risk from birth. For women aged 40 years or more, receiver-operating characteristic curves were similar for 5-year and lifetime IBIS risk from birth. Classifications based on remaining lifetime risk were inferior to 5-year risk estimates. Results were similar using BOADICEA.

Our analysis shows that risk stratification using clinical models will likely be more accurate when based on predicted 5-year risk compared with risks based on predicted lifetime and remaining lifetime, particularly for women aged 20-39 years.

Our analysis shows that risk stratification using clinical models will likely be more accurate when based on predicted 5-year risk compared with risks based on predicted lifetime and remaining lifetime, particularly for women aged 20-39 years.

Advance care planning (ACP) is low among older adults with socioeconomic disadvantage. There is a need for tailored community-based approaches to increase ACP, but community patterns of ACP are poorly understood.

To examine the association between neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) and ACP and to identify communities with both low nSES and low rates of ACP.

This cross-sectional study examined University of California San Francisco electronic health record (EHR) data and place-based data from 9 San Francisco Bay Area counties. Participants were primary care patients aged 65 years or older and living in the San Francisco Bay Area in July 2017. Statistical analysis was performed from May to June 2020.

Patients' home addresses were geocoded and assigned to US Census tracts. The primary factor, nSES, an index combining area-level measures of income, education, poverty, employment, occupation, and housing or rent values, was divided into quintiles scaled to the distribution of all US Census tracts in odds of ACP in a graded fashion (Q1 adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.71 [95% CI, 0.61-0.84], Q2 aOR = 0.74 [95% CI, 0.64-0.86], Q3 aOR = 0.81 [95% CI, 0.71-0.93], Q4 aOR = 0.82 [95% CI, 0.72-0.93]. A bivariable map of ACP by nSES allowed identification of 5 neighborhoods with both low nSES and ACP.

In this study, lower nSES was associated with lower ACP documentation after adjusting for health care use. Using EHR and place-based data, communities of older adults with both low nSES and low ACP were identified. This is a first step in partnering with communities to develop targeted, community-based interventions to meaningfully increase ACP.

In this study, lower nSES was associated with lower ACP documentation after adjusting for health care use. Using EHR and place-based data, communities of older adults with both low nSES and low ACP were identified. This is a first step in partnering with communities to develop targeted, community-based interventions to meaningfully increase ACP.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has infected more than 8.1 million US residents and killed more than 221 000. There is a dearth of research on epidemiology and clinical outcomes in US patients with COVID-19.

To characterize patients with COVID-19 treated in US hospitals and to examine risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

This cohort study was conducted using Premier Healthcare Database, a large geographically diverse all-payer hospital administrative database including 592 acute care hospitals in the United States. Inpatient and hospital-based outpatient visits with a principal or secondary discharge diagnosis of COVID-19 (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis code, U07.1) between April 1 and May 31, 2020, were included.

Characteristics of patients were reported by inpatient/outpatient and survival status. selleck chemical Risk factors associated with death examined included patient characteristics, acute complications, comorbidities, and medication US acute care hospitals, COVID-19 was associated with high ICU admission and in-hospital mortality rates. Use of statins, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and calcium channel blockers were associated with decreased odds of death. Understanding the potential benefits of unproven treatments will require future randomized trials.

The survival benefit of corticosteroids in septic shock remains uncertain.

To estimate the individual treatment effect (ITE) of corticosteroids in adults with septic shock in intensive care units using machine learning and to evaluate the net benefit of corticosteroids when the decision to treat is based on the individual estimated absolute treatment effect.

This cohort study used individual patient data from 4 trials on steroid supplementation in adults with septic shock as a training cohort to model the ITE using an ensemble machine learning approach. Data from a double-blinded, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial comparing hydrocortisone with placebo were used for external validation. Data analysis was conducted from September 2019 to February 2020.

Intravenous hydrocortisone 50 mg dose every 6 hours for 5 to 7 days with or without enteral 50 μg of fludrocortisone daily for 7 days. The control was either the placebo or usual care.

All-cause 90-day mortality.

A total of 2548 participants were included in the development cohort, with median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of 66 (55-76) years and 1656 (65.

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