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In this study, 32 energetic compounds were designed using oxadiazoles (1,2,5-oxadiazole, 1,3,4-oxadiazole) as the parent by inserting different groups as well as changing the bridge between the parent. These compounds had high density and excellent detonation properties. The electrostatic potentials of the designed compounds were analyzed using density functional theory (DFT). The structure, heat of formation (HOF), density, detonation performances (detonation pressure P, detonation velocity D, detonation heat Q), and thermal stability of each compound were systematically studied based on molecular dynamics. The results showed that the -N3 group has the greatest improvement in HOF. For the detonation performances, the directly linked -N=N- and -NH-NH- were beneficial when used as a bridge between 1,2,5-oxadiazole and 1,3,4-oxadiazole, and it can also be found that bridge changing had little effect on the trend of detonation performance, while energetic groups changing influenced differently. In general, the introduction of nitro groups contributes to the improvement of the detonation performance of the compounds. In this study, the compounds containing the highest amount of nitro groups were found to have better detonation performance than their counterparts and were not significantly different from RDX and HMX.Describing the anti-tumour immune response as a series of cellular kinetic reactions from known immunological mechanisms, we create a mathematical model that shows the CD4[Formula see text]/CD8[Formula see text] T-cell ratio, T-cell infiltration and the expression of MHC-I to be interacting factors in tumour elimination. Methods from dynamical systems theory and non-equilibrium statistical mechanics are used to model the T-cell dependent anti-tumour immune response. Our model predicts a critical level of MHC-I expression which determines whether or not the tumour escapes the immune response. This critical level of MHC-I depends on the helper/cytotoxic T-cell ratio. However, our model also suggests that the immune system is robust against small changes in this ratio. We also find that T-cell infiltration and the specificity of the intra-tumour TCR repertoire will affect the critical MHC-I expression. Our work suggests that the functional form of the time evolution of MHC-I expression may explain the qualitative behaviour of tumour growth seen in patients.

No prediction scores for the mortality of both inpatients and outpatients who developed nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) without endoscopic findings have been established. We aimed to derive and validate a novel prediction score for in-hospital mortality.

We conducted a three-stage, multicenter retrospective study. In the derivation stage, patients with nonvariceal UGIB at six institutions were enrolled to derive the prediction score by logistic regression analysis. External validation of the score was performed to analyze discrimination by patients at six other institutions. Then the performance of this score was compared with that of four existing scores.

We enrolled 1380 and 825 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. A prediction score (CHAMPS-R Score) comprising seven variables (Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 2, in-hospital onset, albumin < 2.5g/dL, altered mental status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 2, steroids, and rebleeding)aging such patients. Its mobile application is freely available ( https//apps.apple.com/app/id1565716902 for iOS and https//play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=hatta.CHAMPS for Android).Arid environments face extreme risk from contemporary climate change; therefore, predicting the shifts in species distribution range and niche breadth in these environments assumes urgent research priority. Here we report the potential distribution and predict future distribution range of two model plant species typically representing contrasting environments across Asia and Africa hot-arid Ephedra foliata and cold-arid E. gerardiana. We adopted a comparative modelling approach and used occurrence points from extensive field surveys, supplemented with herbaria records and publicly available distribution data. Our study reveals that currently an area of 8.797334 × 106 km2 (8.8%) is potentially suitable for E. foliata and nearly half 4.759326 × 106 km2 (4.8%) for E. gerardiana. Capmatinib ic50 Under future climate change scenarios, distribution range of E. foliata is predicted to expand but contract in E. gerardiana. Similarly, E. foliata showed broader niche breadth which is predicted to increase under B1 (0.097-0.125) and B2 (0.878-0.930) climatic change scenarios. In contrast, E. gerardiana had narrower niche breadth and expected to further decrease under B1 (0.081-0.078) and B2 (0.878-0.854). The most influential bioclimatic variable governing the potential distribution and niche breadth of E. foliata was the precipitation of warmest quarter, whereas that of E. gerardiana was temperature seasonality. The results from our study can help in developing potential indicator plant species for assessment and monitoring of distribution range shifts in response to changing climate in the arid environments.

To implement a clinically applicable, predictive model for the lumbar Cobb angle below a selective thoracic fusion in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

A series of 146 adolescents with Lenke 1 or 2 idiopathic scoliosis, surgically treated with posterior selective fusion, and minimum follow-up of 5years (average 7) was analyzed. The cohort was divided in 2 groups if lumbar Cobb angle at last follow-up was, respectively, ≥ or < 10°. A logistic regression-based prediction model (PredictMed) was implemented to identify variables associated with the group ≥ 10°. The guidelines of the TRIPOD statement were followed.

Mean Cobb angle of thoracic main curve was 56° preoperatively and 25° at last follow-up.Mean lumbar Cobb angle was 33° (20; 59) preoperatively and 11° (0; 35) at last follow-up.53 patients were in group ≥ 10°. The 2 groups had similardemographics, flexibility of bothmainand lumbar curves, and magnitude of the preoperative main curve, p > 0.1. From univariate analysis, mean magnitude of preoperative lumbar curves (35° vs.

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