Ankersenhicks7718
The problem of optimally allocating a limited supply of vaccine to control a communicable disease has broad applications in public health and has received renewed attention during the COVID-19 pandemic. This allocation problem is highly complex and nonlinear. Decision makers need a practical, accurate, and interpretable method to guide vaccine allocation. In this paper we develop simple analytical conditions that can guide the allocation of vaccines over time. We consider four objectives minimize new infections, minimize deaths, minimize life years lost, or minimize quality-adjusted life years lost due to death. We consider an SIR model with interacting population groups. We approximate the model using Taylor series expansions, and develop simple analytical conditions characterizing the optimal solution to the resulting problem for a single time period. We develop a solution approach in which we allocate vaccines using the analytical conditions in each time period based on the state of the epidemic at the start of the time period. We illustrate our method with an example of COVID-19 vaccination, calibrated to epidemic data from New York State. Using numerical simulations, we show that our method achieves near-optimal results over a wide range of vaccination scenarios. Our method provides a practical, intuitive, and accurate tool for decision makers as they allocate limited vaccines over time, and highlights the need for more interpretable models over complicated black box models to aid in decision making.
Serum and synovial biomarkers are currently used to diagnose periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Serum neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has shown promise as an inexpensive test in diagnosing infection, but there are no reports of synovial NLR or absolute neutrophil count (ANC) for diagnosing chronic PJI. The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic potential of both markers.
A retrospective review of 730 patients who underwent total joint arthroplasty and subsequent aspiration was conducted. Synovial white blood cell (WBC) count, synovial polymorphonuclear percentage (PMN%), synovial NLR, synovial ANC, serum erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), serum C-reactive protein (CRP), serum WBC, serum PMN%, serum NLR, and serum ANC had their utility in diagnosing PJI examined by area-under-the-curve analyses (AUC). Pairwise comparisons of AUCs were performed.
The AUCs for synovial WBC, PMN%, NLR, and ANC were 0.84, 0.84, 0.83, and 0.85, respectively. Synovial fluid ANC was a superior marker to synovial NLR (P= .027) and synovial WBC (P= .003) but not PMN% (P= .365). Synovial NLR was inferior to PMN% (P= .006) but not different from synovial WBC (P>.05). The AUCs for serum ESR, CRP, WBC, PMN%, NLR, and ANC were 0.70, 0.79, 0.63, 0.72, 0.74, and 0.67, respectively. Serum CRP outperformed all other serum markers (P < .05) except for PMN% and NLR (P > .05). Serum PMN% and NLR were similar to serum ESR (P > .05).
Synovial ANC had similar performance to PMN% in diagnosing chronic PJI, whereas synovial NLR was a worse diagnostic marker. The lack of superiority to synovial PMN% limits the utility of these tests compared to established criteria.
Synovial ANC had similar performance to PMN% in diagnosing chronic PJI, whereas synovial NLR was a worse diagnostic marker. The lack of superiority to synovial PMN% limits the utility of these tests compared to established criteria.
Aspirin as a venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylactic agent has been shown to have antistaphylococcal and antibiofilm roles. Optimal acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) dosage would facilitate antimicrobial effects while avoiding over-aggressive inhibition of platelet antimicrobial function. Our purpose was to determine the periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) rate after total joint arthroplasty in patients receiving low-dose ASA (81 mg twice a day), in comparison to high-dose ASA (325 mg twice a day).
We conducted a retrospective cohort study between 2008 and 2020. Eligible patients were older than 18 years, underwent primary total joint arthroplasty, both total knee arthroplasty and total hip arthroplasty, had a minimum 30-day follow-up, and received a full course ASA as VTE prophylaxis. Patients' records were reviewed for PJI, according to Musculoskeletal Infection Society criteria. Patients were excluded if they underwent revision arthroplasty, had a history of coagulopathy, or had an ASA regimen that was not completed. In total 15,825 patients were identified, 8,761 patients received low-dose ASA and 7,064 received high-dose ASA.
The high-dose cohort had a higher PJI rate (0.35 versus 0.10%, P= .001). This relationship was maintained when comparing subgroups comprising total knee arthroplasty (0.32 versus 0.06%, P= .019) or total hip arthroplasty (0.38 versus 0.14%, P= .035) and accounting for potentially confounding demographic and surgical variables (odds ratio= 2.59, 95% CI= 1.15-6.40, P= .028).
Comparing low-dose to high-dose ASA as a VTE prophylactic agent, low-dose ASA had a lower PJI rate. This may be attributable to a balance of anti-infective properties of ASA and antiplatelet effects.
Comparing low-dose to high-dose ASA as a VTE prophylactic agent, low-dose ASA had a lower PJI rate. This may be attributable to a balance of anti-infective properties of ASA and antiplatelet effects.
General anesthesia (GA) has been the commonly used protocol for total hip arthroplasty (THA); however, neuraxial anesthesia (NA) has been increasingly performed. Our purpose was to compare NA and GA for 30-day postoperative outcomes in United States veterans undergoing primary THA.
A large veteran's database was utilized to identify patients undergoing primary THA between 1999 and 2019. A total of 6,244 patients had undergone THA and were included in our study. Of these, 44,780 (79.6%) had received GA, and 10,788 (19.2%) had received NA. Patients receiving NA or GA were compared for 30-day mortalities, cardiovascular, respiratory, and renal complications, and wound infections and hospital lengths of stay (LOS). Propensity score matching, multivariate regression analyses, and subgroup analyses by American Society of Anesthesiology classification were performed to control for selection bias and patient baseline characteristics.
Upon propensity-adjusted multivariate analyses, NA was associated with decreaso GA in patients undergoing THA. Postoperative adverse events were decreased with NA administration with similar decreases observed across all patient preoperative risk levels. NA was also associated with a significant decrease in hospital LOS.
The main objective of this study was to assess the sanitary measures of operating theaters using next-generation sequencing.
Air was sampled from the operating room for the whole duration of 10 surgical days of "clean" (no infection cases) procedures (6 hip/knee arthroplasty and 4 spine cases). Controls consisted of samples at the beginning of the day (1hour before the surgery started) and at the end of the day after terminal cleaning. One additional control sample, consisting of a culture swab that was opened and exposed to the air for 5seconds, was collected at each time point. All samples were sent for next-generation sequencing analysis (16S rRNA sequencing) for bacterial identification.
Overall, 306 samples were collected (159 controls and 147 experimental). Microbial DNA was detected in only 1 control sample, while 18 (12.2%) experimental samples were positive for microbial DNA. The most common organisms retrieved were Escherichia coli (6/18, 30%), Cutibacterium acnes (3/18, 15%), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (2/18, 11.1%). There was no difference in positive samples between arthroplasty and spine cases (P > .05).
Microbial organisms are not uncommonly present in the operating room air during hip and knee arthroplasties and spine procedures.
Microbial organisms are not uncommonly present in the operating room air during hip and knee arthroplasties and spine procedures.
In revision total knee arthroplasty, zonal fixation methods with a combination of augments, press-fit stems, and sleeves are popular. We hypothesized that high distal femoral augmentation with diaphyseal press-fit stems leads to an increased rate of early aseptic loosening and that femoral metaphyseal sleeves improve implant survival. Therefore, we retrospectively investigated implant survival in relation to augment heights and sleeves.
A total of 136 patients with mean clinical follow-up of 50 months (range, 28-85) who underwent modular total knee arthroplasty and revision total knee arthroplasty with semiconstrained implants between January 2012 and July 2018 were retrospectively evaluated. Implant survival with 4, 8, and 12 mm distal femoral augments was compared to no distal augmentation. Subsequently, a subgroup analysis was performed for femoral sleeve implantation.
We observed an implant survival rate of 97.0%, 87.5%, and 69.2% for 4, 8, and 12 mm distal femoral augmentation, respectively (P= .73; P= .19; P= .008). ND646 chemical structure The implant survival rate with femoral sleeves was 95.8% for the 8 mm augments and 85.7% for the 12 mm augments (P= .42; P= .96). Without femoral sleeves, the implant survival rate was 78.3% with the 8 mm augments and 50.0% with the 12 mm augments (P= .02; P < .001).
Higher rates of aseptic femoral loosening were identified for distal femoral augmentation of 8 mm or more without metaphyseal sleeve fixation in semiconstrained implants. Thus, in cases with femoral metaphyseal bone damage requiring high distal femoral augmentation, metaphyseal sleeves should be used to avoid early aseptic femoral loosening.
Higher rates of aseptic femoral loosening were identified for distal femoral augmentation of 8 mm or more without metaphyseal sleeve fixation in semiconstrained implants. Thus, in cases with femoral metaphyseal bone damage requiring high distal femoral augmentation, metaphyseal sleeves should be used to avoid early aseptic femoral loosening.
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterised by high short-term mortality, systemic inflammation, and failure of hepatic regeneration. Its treatment is a major unmet medical need. This study was conducted to explore whether combining TAK-242, a Toll-like receptor-4 (TLR4) antagonist, with granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF), could reduce inflammation whilst enhancing liver regeneration.
Two mouse models of ACLF were investigated. Chronic liver injury was induced by carbon tetrachloride; lipopolysaccharide (LPS) or galactosamine (GalN) were then administered as extrahepatic or hepatic insults, respectively. G-CSF and/or TAK-242 were administered daily. Treatment durations were 24 hours and 5 days in the LPS model and 48 hours in the GalN model.
In a mouse model of LPS-induced ACLF, treatment with G-CSF was associated with significant mortality (66% after 48 hours vs. 0% without G-CSF). Addition of TAK-242 to G-CSF abrogated mortality (0%) and significantly reduced liver cell death, maing mouse models, that the combination of granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (which can promote liver regeneration) and TAK-242 (which inhibits a receptor that plays a key role in inflammation) could be effective for the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Acute-on-chronic liver failure is associated with severe liver inflammation and poor short-term survival. Therefore, effective treatments are urgently needed. Herein, we have shown, using mouse models, that the combination of granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (which can promote liver regeneration) and TAK-242 (which inhibits a receptor that plays a key role in inflammation) could be effective for the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure.