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“The goal [for Russia] is still to exterminate Ukraine, its infrastructure, its education system and its culture.” With both sides clear that they will accept no less than full victory, de-escalation seems unlikely. The tactical agreement to allow grain exports via the Black Sea was seen as a tentative sign of cooperation – the UN chief, António Guterres, hailed the agreement as “a beacon of hope”. “You never want to predictive in this situation, because it’s very fluid, but it would surprise no one if Russia were to sink one of these grain ships, and claim Ukraine did it,” Luke says. As the war moves into its sixth month, the end seems no closer.

Ukraine's defensive forces transform into an effective insurgency, well-motivated and supported by local populations. And then, perhaps after many years, with maybe new leadership in Moscow, Russian forces eventually leave Ukraine, bowed and bloodied, just as their predecessors left Afghanistan in 1989 after a decade fighting Islamist insurgents. Earlier this month, its civil defence minister told a defence conference "there could be a war in Sweden".

How might the Ukraine war end?

Most U.S. training takes place at U.S. military bases in Germany. Ukrainian replacement troops go through combat training on Feb. 24 in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine. And even though the fall of the Soviet Union was notable for its lack of bloodshed, many in Ukraine refer to today's conflict as a true "war of independence." The U.S. Congress approved four separate spending bills for Ukraine in the past year totaling $112 billion. The rest is funding the Ukrainian government (this helps pay the salaries of Ukrainian government workers) and humanitarian aid to help the millions of Ukrainians who have been driven from their homes.

Ukraine, say, accepts Russian sovereignty over Crimea and parts of the Donbas. In turn, Putin accepts Ukrainian independence and its right to deepen ties with Europe. But it is not beyond the realms of plausibility that such a scenario could emerge from the wreckage of a bloody conflict. Perhaps more likely is that this develops into a protracted war.

Humanitarian Aid to Gaza Cannot Prevent Catastrophe Without a Cease-Fire

Still, Russia and Ukraine have now been fighting for more than three months. Both have suffered heavy losses and each knows that the war could drag on for years at a staggering cost without either achieving its aims. The Russian president does control additional chunks of Ukrainian territory, but he may hope to find some way of easing Western sanctions and also avoiding being wholly dependent on China.

• Pressure would then grow on Kyiv to negotiate – not necessarily from the west, but perhaps led by China.









• "A frank and constructive dialogue is expected to improve relations between states," the Ukrainian president's office said on its official channel on the Telegram messaging app alongside a photo of Mr Szijjarto, Mr Kuleba and Mr Yermak.









• Russia has suffered a series of significant military setbacks that make any victory for them look a much more distant and difficult prospect – but a swift win for Ukraine doesn’t look likely either.

This means that the willingness of the general population to suffer in the face of high costs is of the utmost importance. Second, the two sides might not trust that an agreement made today will be honoured tomorrow. Finally, https://bagge-albrechtsen.mdwrite.net/exploring-the-wardrobe-secrets-of-news-anchors might not be able to settle the contentious issue, especially when ethnic, religious or ideological tensions are involved. Now, at the edge of… well, who knows what, here are three possible scenarios for the ending of this ever more devastating war. It's perhaps the only thing more complicated than sanctions enforcement, and this question touches on both.

What are the Ukrainian refugees who fled their country doing now? Are they able to get jobs in their host countries? — Laurel

As the war enters its second year, the spigot of military aid is still gushing. But industrial capacities are spotty, and nations have started to scrutinize how much equipment they can spare while maintaining their own self-defense requirements and that of NATO. Defense News spoke with national security analysts, lawmakers and retired officials, asking each how the conflict could end. Defense experts say it's unlikely the counteroffensive will see any breakthroughs this year.

• Under Article 5 of the military alliance's charter, an attack on one member is an attack on all.









• And Russia, as a much larger country, a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, and a significant economic player, “is no North Korea” and “can’t and will not be isolated,” she noted.









• Army’s maneuver warfare school at Fort Benning, Georgia, said Western upgrades offer Ukraine the chance to dominate the close fight with Russian adversaries and conclude the tactical fighting to its advantage.









• The most likely scenario is a stalemate where both sides accept the facts on the ground, more or less as they exist today.









• Talk of wider war in Europe and the potential need for mass mobilisation or a "citizen army" may sound alarming.

Combine that with another attack on the now repaired 12-mile (19km) Kerch Bridge to the Russian mainland and Crimea would be increasingly isolated and vulnerable. It took 15 votes for McCarthy to secure the position, after which he appointed three Republicans who oppose Ukraine aid — Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Ralph Norman of South Carolina and Chip Roy of Texas — to the Rules Committee, which controls legislation and debate on the House floor. But Smith also said ATACMS producer Lockheed Martin no longer makes the missiles, and the U.S. military still needs them in its stockpiles. “Everything I have come to learn about the will and determination of the Ukrainians leads me to conclude retaking Crimea is within reach, and they need the artillery that will enable hitting targets — the sites of missiles destroying infrastructure in Ukraine,” he said. “It would have to get pretty bad for the Russians to get there,” he said, adding that there’s no way of knowing how many reserves the government stashed away after years of fat checks from energy sales.

And bit by bit, Russia’s advantages—shorter supply lines, terrain better suited to armored warfare, and an overwhelming advantage in armaments, especially artillery—started paying off. Most ominously, its troops began encircling a large portion of Ukraine’s battle-tested, best-trained forces in Donbas where besieged towns like Sievierodonetsk, Lysychansk, Lyman, and Popasna suddenly hit the headlines. Still, the botched northern campaign and the serial failures of a military that had been infused with vast sums of money and supposedly subjected to widespread modernization and reform was stunning.

• One way to do that is with an armistice, a temporary agreement to cease military operations, but one that does not conclude the war decisively.









• If you are a frontline Ukrainian soldier in eastern Ukraine then clearly the situation is extremely dangerous.









• They believe some of their Western allies, as well as supporters in the media, have become over-excited about Ukraine's army and its Nato equipment.









• Army captain who last year became a special adviser to Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the commander of the Ukrainian military.









• One year into the conflict, here are some of your questions about the war answered.

Ukraine will do all it can to keep pressure on the Russians there to make it untenable for the Russian navy in Sevastopol, the handful of air force bases there and their logistics base at Dzankoy. The military course of this war in 2024 will be determined in Moscow, Kyiv, Washington, Brussels, Beijing, Tehran and Pyongyang more than in Avdiivka, Tokmak, Kramatorsk or any of the devastated battlefields along the frontlines. Industrial-age warfare bends significant parts, or in some cases whole economies, towards the production of war materials as matters of priority. Russia's defence budget has tripled since 2021 and will consume 30% of government spending next year. Compared with this time last year, Vladimir Putin is stronger, politically more than militarily. We asked three military analysts how they think events may unfold in the coming 12 months.

• Research suggests that the path to war resembles a bargaining game, where countries compete over issues like territory and resources to patriotism or the style of governance.









• US-based thinktank the Institute for the Study of War said it had seen continued reports that Russia had not been able to produce missiles and artillery ammunition at pre-war levels for its own forces to use - making it unlikely to be able to export arms at pre-war levels.









• In Sweden and Norway, conscription is partial - not everyone gets drafted.









• The plant was seized by Russia in March and used as a military base but is still run by Ukrainian staff.